YASASHI · INVESTOR MEMO
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Private investment memo · July 2026
Yasashi.

An automated mean-reversion system for Bitcoin perpetual futures. 3.9 years of verified trade history. Live execution measured on every fill. Now raising its first outside capital.

Prepared for
Huy Pham
Prepared by
John Christmas
The ask
$20,000
Verified trades
5,244
Profit factor
2.85
Win rate
82.9%
01 · What Yasashi does

It sells overreaction and buys it back.

Bitcoin on the 1-minute chart constantly overshoots — stretched moves that snap back toward their average within minutes. Yasashi fades those stretches: long when price dips too far below its mean, short when it extends too far above. No prediction, no narrative — just a measured, repeatable market behavior harvested thousands of times.

  • 30 independent conditions (15 long, 15 short) must all agree before a trade fires. Most minutes, nothing qualifies.
  • Small, fast, frequent. Average hold ≈ 20 minutes, roughly 110 trades a month. Singles, not home runs.
  • Defense is layered: 3% hard stopEMA-cross trailing exitbreak-even lock. Losers are cut mechanically.
  • Fully automated. Signal → order → journal, with zero manual intervention and every fill logged.
02 · The record

5,244 trades. +328% unleveraged.

Full verified history, September 2022 → June 2026, flat position sizing — and the edge is strengthening: the trailing twelve months ran at profit factor 5.1.

Total return · 3.9y
+328.6%
flat sizing, no leverage
Profit factor
2.845
last 365 days: 5.10
Win rate
82.9%
4,347 W / 897 L
Max drawdown
3.84%
last 365 days: 1.40%
Cumulative P&L — Sep 2022 → Jun 2026 · $100K flat sizing · verified trade log+$350,542
03 · Stress history

Every regime since 2022.
Never broke stride.

The backtest window isn't a bull-market cherry-pick — it spans every major crash, crisis, and structural shift Bitcoin has produced in nearly four years. Mean reversion doesn't care which direction the market is trending; it harvests the noise either way. Max drawdown across all of it: 3.84%.

FTX collapse · Nov 2022 SVB banking crisis · Mar 2023 Mt. Gox distribution · Jul 2024 Tariff shock · Apr 2025 Bear → bull transition · 2022–24 ATH breakout & expansion · 2024–26
04 · Execution, measured

The backtest survives contact with reality.

Most strategies die in the gap between signal price and fill price. We didn't assume that gap — we measured it on every live fill, then A/B-tested passive limit-chase entries against direct market execution on real capital. Verdict: at size, certainty wins. Passive fills are limited by incoming taker flow and erode as orders grow; market impact on a deep book is a rounding error.

Every number below is live and public on the execution dashboard — recomputed with each fill.

Round-trip drift vs signal−0.008%
Fills within ±0.02% of signal82%
Fill rate100%
Median order latency~1 second
Live fills measured920+
Trading fees on venueZero
05 · Liquidity & scale

The book is deep. The ask is small.

We sample the live BTC order book around the clock — 2,867 depth snapshots in the last 24 hours — so slippage at any size is a measurement, not a guess. This raise deploys ≈ $200K of positioning: about 2% of the standing book. The strategy has room to scale 10× beyond this ask before slippage becomes a line item.

Standing bid depth
$10M
ask side: $7.9M
Spread
0.016 bps
one tick wide, all day
$500K market order
0.012%
avg slippage · 24h sampled
$1M market order
<0.025%
measured book impact
06 · Live & verifiable

Nothing here asks for trust.

Yasashi has been trading live capital since June 2026 on a deliberately small, deliberately over-leveraged stress-test account — 426 completed trades at up to 27× to find the breaking points before outside money arrives. Every trade, fill, and mistake is public on the dashboard in real time. You verify the machine before you fund it, and watch it daily after.

07 · The ask

The ask: $20,000.

Investment$20,000
Profit split70% you / 30% operator
TermsNegotiable
Deployment10× · ≈$200K positioning
SettlementMonthly
Lock-upNone — withdraw anytime
ReportingLive dashboard · every fill

No profits, no fee — the operator earns only when you do. The split settles at month-end; your capital and remaining share stay deployed and compound.

First-year scenarios — adjust the assumptions

Backtest realization25%
Your share of profits70%
Projected gross profit$61,577
Your share$43,104
Your $20,000 becomes$63,104
Base: trailing-12-month verified trade log scaled to $200K positioning (+$246K gross at 100%). "Conservative 25%" assumes the live edge runs at a quarter of backtest. Projections, not promises.
08 · Risk, plainly

What can go wrong.

Leverage amplifies both directions. The strategy's unleveraged drawdowns are small, but at 10× they are real equity swings. We ran 10,000 Monte Carlo resamples of the verified trade log at the proposed sizing — the honest expectation is below.

A single worst-case trade (the 3% hard stop at full size) costs about 30% of equity at 10×. The edge can also decay: markets adapt, and past performance does not guarantee future results. That is precisely why the terms carry no lock-up — if the live numbers stop resembling these, you leave.

Median max drawdown · 10× · MC 10K44.7% of equity
95th percentile drawdown58.8% of equity
Simulated risk of ruin0%
Worst single trade at 10×≈30% of equity
Venue / smart-contract riskNon-zero, uninsured
Your maximum loss100% of the $20,000
09 · Next step

Don't take the memo's word for it.
Watch it trade.

The dashboard is live right now — every position, every fill, every dollar. Watch it for a week. Then let's talk terms.

Open the live dashboard

John Christmas · tradeordiex@gmail.com

Backtest data from TradingView on the verified Yasashi trade log · Live trading and forward testing on Lighter DEX · Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is not a securities offering and nothing here is financial advice; no legal partnership or fiduciary obligation is created. All terms are set by mutual agreement between participants. Capital at risk up to the full amount invested.

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