Yasashi.
An automated system that trades Bitcoin's overreactions and sells them back a few minutes later. 3.9 years of verified trades. Live execution measured on every fill. Now raising its first outside capital.
01What it does
It sells overreaction
and buys it back.
On the one-minute chart, Bitcoin constantly overshoots: a sharp move stretches too far from its recent average, then snaps back within minutes. Yasashi trades that snap-back. It buys when price has fallen too far, too fast. It sells when price has run too far, too fast. No forecast, no story. One measured habit of the market, harvested thousands of times.
- 01Fifteen conditions must all agree. Most of them exist to say no: big candles, breakouts, month-end flows. When the market expands, it sits out.
- 02Small, fast, frequent. About twenty minutes in the market, roughly 110 trades a month. Singles, not home runs.
- 03Three layers of defense. A hard stop caps the worst case. A break-even lock means a trade that goes right can no longer lose. A trailing exit lets a winner run.
- 04Nobody touches it. Signal, order, journal: fully automated, every fill logged.
Why this keeps happening
Markets spend most of their time going nowhere. In those hours price is set by machines: market makers, liquidation engines, other mean-reversion systems. Their behaviour is predictable, and Yasashi trades on their side.
When the market expands, Yasashi is out. Most of the fifteen conditions exist to say no. It doesn't try to predict the wild hours; it avoids them.
The edge is small, frequent and capacity-limited. That is why it persists, and why the ask is small.
02How it decides
Fifteen lights.
All of them, or nothing.
Most minutes, a few stay dark. That is the point.All fifteen. Signal.
Watch one trade happen.
Illustrative scenario, not a live trade
Price swings. The machine watches, and does nothing.
Thirteen of fifteen. Close. Not a trade.
A push to the upside. Wrong regime for a short today. It lets it go.
Fifteen of fifteen. Now it fires.
Bought. A hard stop sits below, the most this trade can ever lose.
A little in profit. The stop moves to the entry price: this trade can no longer lose.
Price crosses back above its average. The stop now trails under each bar.
Price rolls over and touches the trail. Out, with the gain kept.
One trade. Fifteen requirements, most of them a veto. It works the calm hours and sits out the wild ones. About 110 times a month, for nearly four years.
One weekend. Every trade.
Binance BTC perpetual · Sept 4 to 6, 2026 · real trades
Friday morning to Sunday morning. Every candle is real. Every mark is a trade Yasashi took.
Twelve trades. Ten winners. Both losers cut small. +$404 on $100K flat. On your $40,000, that weekend was about $162 unleveraged, or $809 at 5×.
04The record
5,244 trades. +328% with no leverage.
September 2022 to June 2026, same position size on every trade. Through the FTX collapse, a banking crisis, a bear market, a bull market and new all-time highs, the account was never more than 3.84% below its peak. The last twelve months alone: +115%, and $5.10 made for every $1 lost.
05Real life
The backtest survives contact with reality.
Most strategies die in the gap between the price the model wanted and the price it actually got. We didn't estimate that gap. We measured it on every live fill, on real money, and published it.
We get the price the model asked for.
Across 920+ live fills, the difference between the signal price and the filled price rounds to zero.
Our size doesn't move the market.
We sample the order book around the clock: 2,868 snapshots in the last 24 hours. This raise deploys about $200K, roughly 1.5% of what is resting on the thinner side of the book at any moment.
You can check all of it, now.
The live account has run since May 2026, deliberately over-leveraged at up to 27× to find the breaking points before outside money arrives. Every trade is public.
06The deal
The ask: $40,000.
- Your investment
- $40,000
- Deployed at
- 5× · about $200K of positioning
- Profit
- half stays in and compounds · the rest split 70 / 30
- After a losing month
- no fee until you are back above your peak
- Leaving
- any time · no lock-up · funds back in two business days
- What stayed in, when you leave
- split the same way · 70% you · 30% manager
What it could be worth
07Risk, plainly
What can go wrong.
Leverage cuts both ways. Unleveraged, the drawdowns are small. At 5×, a bad stretch is a real dent in your equity, and the edge can fade. That is why there is no lock-up. If the live numbers stop looking like these, you leave.
Drawdown figures come from resampling the full trade history 10,000 times, as a share of starting capital, scaled to the leverage you chose. The same method runs live on the dashboard's explorer page.
- Typical worst drop in a year, of equity
- 1× ≈4% · 5× ≈22%
- Unlucky year (1 in 20), of equity
- 1× ≈7% · 5× ≈33%
- Worst single trade, of equity
- 1× ≈1.4% · 5× ≈7%
- Exchange failure or hack
- possible, uninsured
- Your maximum loss
- 100% of the $40,000
| Month | Paid out | What happens |
|---|---|---|
| Losing | Nothing | Position size scales down. |
| Recovering | Nothing | No fee until you are back at your peak. |
| New peak | Half stays in, the rest split 70/30 | A new peak is set. |
08Three questions
Three questions. Your call.
You should be able to answer all three yourself by now. Here is where I land.
- 1
Is this real?
Yes, and you can check without me. 5,244 trades since 2022, through every kind of market. The live account is public and runs deliberately over-leveraged to find the breaking points before your money is near it.
- 2
Does it give you something you don't already have?
Everything else you hold needs the world to cooperate: a direction, a headline, a good year. This needs none of that. It trades a habit of the market, both directions, twenty minutes at a time, and it did so straight through FTX, SVB and the tariff shock without noticing.
- 3
What happens when it goes wrong?
You lose money. The question is whether it is bounded and whether I see it coming. A hard stop on every trade. I earn nothing until you are above your previous peak, so a drawdown costs me before it costs you. Out in two business days, no lock-up, no gate.
If all three landed, the next page is how. If one didn't, tell me which.
09Make it happen
Ready when you are.
Read the term sheet, pick whichever funding rail is easiest, and the account is trading the same day. Questions first? One text away.
Backtest data from TradingView on the verified Yasashi trade log. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is not a securities offering and nothing here is financial advice; no legal partnership or fiduciary obligation is created. All terms are set by mutual agreement between participants. Capital at risk up to the full amount invested.